Ahead of the company’s annual Capital Markets Day (CMD) in Bangkok on 5 March, Mr Aloke Lohia, Group CEO of Indorama Ventures, pointed to industry mega-trends that are forging fundamental long-term changes in global chemical markets, prompting a significant review of the company’s strategy. He described how subdued local demand in China is driving overcapacity and fueling cheap exports, while low feedstock prices in North America are adding to supply due to increased competitiveness. At the same time, unprecedented macroeconomic and geopolitical headwinds are weighing on global consumption, impacting Indorama Ventures’ margins and volumes in FY23, and leading to a 53% decline in earnings. Mr Lohia said feedstock prices in Western markets will increase over time as peak oil demand draws closer and refineries shut down, while the reverse will occur in emerging Asian markets as capacity rises, driving feedstock costs lower. Indorama Ventures’ unique integrated manufacturing model allows it to benefit from lower feedstock prices through ‘make or buy’ strategies that reduce working capital and interest costs.
At its CMD, the company will outline details of its new IVL 2.0 strategy to adapt to the unprecedented industry conditions. It will deleverage its business in a prolonged environment of higher interest rates, while right sizing its operations and optimizing competitiveness to improve shareholder returns over the next three years and emerge stronger as demand normalizes in the longer term. Indorama Ventures is accelerating the transformation programs it started in 2021, including implementing new data management tools and intelligent dashboards that allow its experienced managers to predict market changes in real time and respond to shifts more effectively.
Mr Lohia said: “Change is a constant in our industry. We have embraced similar seismic events in our thirty-year history and emerged stronger than before. In 2023, we recognized that the ecosystem has changed, and what worked for us in the past will not work going forward. We had to devise a new strategy to operate successfully within the new ground rules, leveraging the highly successful global model we built over decades. In recent months, each of our businesses has undergone a stringent review, with detailed plans now in place to optimize our assets, processes, and our organization, and focus on enhancing earnings quality over the next three years.”
Today, Indorama Ventures has an unparalleled global footprint, with leadership in sustainable and growing markets, following a remarkable era of expansion during which it made some 50 acquisitions over 20 years to build its unique global model. Mr Lohia expressed continued confidence in the long-term growth potential of its business, which is tied to macro-consumer trends as populations grow and modernize and demand more sustainable products that improve their lives and the environment.
Under IVL 2.0, the company will optimize its asset footprint, improve cashflow, and significantly reduce debt levels as it switches to new priorities of enhancing earnings quality and maximizing shareholder value. Measures include a $2.5 billion reduction in Net Debt to around $4.3 billion in 2026, including generating $0.8 billion in cashflow from operational improvements and a further $1.7 billion from strategic corporate actions including divestments, asset actions, and select business listings. These steps are aimed at reducing its Debt to EBITDA ratio to less than 3x.